Asymmetric Effects of Oil Shocks on Business Cycles in Iran's Economy

Volume 10, Issue 4 - Serial Number 4
Winter 2014
Pages 113-146

Document Type : Research Paper

Author

Academic stuff

Abstract
The importance of oil revenue in Iran's economy and its effect on business cycles is an undeniable issue. Oil revenue is a critical factor in Iran's economy and affects GDP to a great extent. Oil and Gas sector is not only an influential economic activity per se, but also an important source of financing to the other sectors in Iran's economy. By this article, we try to examine asymmetrical effects of oil shocks on business cycles. Whether an equal increase and decrease in oil revenues have neutral effect on business cycles, is the main question to address here. To undertake this research, annual data of 1338-1386 time periods, has been used. The findings display that the business cycles response to oil shocks is asymmetric, meaning that negative shocks dominate positive shocks.

Keywords

  • Receive Date 20 April 2015
  • Revise Date 11 September 2015
  • Accept Date 22 October 2015
  • First Publish Date 22 October 2015
  • Publish Date 20 February 2014