Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

Abstract

Raisin is one of the most important Iran,s export goods.  Iran ranks third in terms of raisin production after the United States and Turkey, and second in terms of export.  Thus studing the effective factors on raisin export is of most importance.  To estimate the model, ARDL approach and time series of 1972-2005 was used.  Results showed that relative price, real effective exchange rate and production quantity have positive effect, and rival exporters and the Revolution and War (dummy variables) have negative effect on raisin in Iran.  Thus we offer that exporters as well as government should pay more attention to Raisin processing, packing and shipping.  The government and Central Bank should manage exchange rate system in a way to make raisin export advantageous for exporters.
 
JEL classification: C22, F12, Q17

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